Will "The Fall Guy" (2024) have a Metacritic score >75?

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resolved May 17

Resolved

ALL

"The Fall Guy" (2024) Metacritic page: https://www.metacritic.com/movie/the-fall-guy/
I will resolve based on the Metascore (i.e. critics, not audiences) on May 17th (two weeks after release).

Details

NOTE: "The Fall Guy" just premiered at SXSW, and some reviews have already been released—I'm still running this market because I expect many reviews to be held until release, so the Metascore might shift a good deal.
I will use whatever precision is listed by Metacritic (typically an integer, no decimal, and ties resolve NO).
Example: the Metascore for "Deadpool 2" (same director) is currently 66.

Context

"The Fall Guy" is an upcoming (May 5th release) action blockbuster directed by David Leitch ("Deadpool 2", "Bullet Train", "Atomic Blonde"), about a stuntman (Ryan Gosling) who has to find ex (Emily Blunt) after she goes missing. Here's the trailer:

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Entertainment and Pop Culture

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What is this?

What is Manifold?

Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.

Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.

Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.

Are our predictions accurate?

Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.

Why use play money?

Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.

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