Will Taylor Swift play >45 songs in her next Eras Tour concert?
Basic
5
Ṁ1740
resolved May 9
Resolved
YES
  • At her first show of the Eras Tour, Taylor Swift performed 44 songs.

  • Between March 2023 and July 2023, the setlist was relatively stable at 44 songs.

  • In July 2023, Taylor Swift added "Long Live" to the setlist when she released "Speak Now (Taylor's Version)".

  • For almost all of the shows that followed, her performances followed the same pattern, with 45 songs.

  • For her Singapore performances (the most recent leg of her tour), Taylor Swift often performed "mash-ups" of multiple songs, which she had not done at most of her prior shows.

    • For example, at her most last show, she performed two mash-ups, which meant that 47 songs were performed that night.

  • Between now and Taylor Swift's next show (Paris, May 9th), she will release her eleventh studio album.

  • This question captures whether she chooses to find more space to cover more of her extensive discography within each performance.

  • This question resolves YES if 46 or more songs are performed during her next concert.

Resolution notes

  • I'll use setlist.fm as the source for resolution (but not their count of songs)—example for the March 4th performance.

  • Mash-ups count each song included (e.g. "Foolish One / Tell Me Why" counts as two songs).

  • However, musical interludes (e.g. "seven") do not count unless Taylor Swift is singing them live.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ92
2Ṁ25
3Ṁ6
4Ṁ2
5Ṁ1
Sort by:
bought Ṁ134 YES

@traders Setlist posted https://www.setlist.fm/setlist/taylor-swift/2024/paris-la-defense-arena-nanterre-france-6baa46ba.html

Looking through the list, it's clear that all 46 songs count. Thus, >45 total songs, and this resolves YES

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules