This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Napoleon" (2023) grosses more than $28,000,000 during its 3-day domestic opening weekend. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
The "Domestic Opening" number listed on Box Office Mojo https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt13287846/?ref_=bo_se_r_1 will be used to resolve this market.
Note: The Box Office Mojo "Domestic Opening" is typically the 3-day total. "Napoleon" releases during Thanksgiving week, so some opening numbers will cite the 5-day instead. Regardless, I will use whatever is listed by Box Office Mojo. (Example: For Devotion (2022), released around the same time last year, the opening gross listed is $5.9M).
The market will resolve once the opening weekend values are finalized (i.e. not studio estimates), which may be before the listed date. If Box Ofifce Mojo does not cite a number by December 1st, I will use an alternative source.
I may choose to trade in my own markets if they have clear, objective resolution criteria (like this one).
If any aspect of this question is unclear, please ask.
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ293 | |
| 2 | Ṁ240 | |
| 3 | Ṁ149 | |
| 4 | Ṁ124 | |
| 5 | Ṁ107 |
I'll be resolving this NO. BoxOfficeMojo lists $20.4M for the "Domestic Opening". I might wait a day to resolve the 22M market, in case there's some freak update to the numbers (although I think these are official already?), but I'll resolve this in a bit, as there's no chance it reaches 28M.
It should be already extremely clear from the (lengthy) description, but just in case, I'll highlight again that the number listed on Box Office Mojo is usually the 3-day weekend total, despite "Napoleon" releasing on a Tuesday (as is typical for Thanksgiving).
E.g. Last year, the comparable number for Strange World is listed as $12,151,384, matching the "Nov 25-27 Thanksgiving 3-day" number listed below, not the $18,855,156 listed for the Thanksgiving 5-day. This is just repeating what's in the description, but it looks like holiday weekends are tallied a bit differently than regular weekends.
