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MANIFOLD
Will "Kung Fu Panda 4" have >$85 million domestic gross by the morning of Purim? (i.e. through March 23rd)
9
Ṁ200Ṁ14k
resolved Mar 18
Resolved
YES
  • "Kung Fu Panda" (2024) opens on March 8th. This market will resolve based on the domestic total listed by BoxOfficeMojo through (and including) March 23rd, 2024: https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt21692408/?ref_=bo_se_r_1.

  • In 2024, the Jewish holiday of Purim begins at sundown on March 23rd, and ends at sundown on March 24th. Thus, I'm using the "morning of Purim" (March 24th) to denote that this includes gross up through March 23rd, but not March 24th.

For context, a similar market for "Kung Fu Panda 3" with end date Feb 13th (similarly the 3rd Saturday of release) would have total domestic gross of $85,773,775 (i.e. "Domestic Daily" tab, "To Date" column, and look at the row for the relevant end date). This is the equivalent number that I will use.

This market resolves YES if the number listed for "Kung Fu Panda 4" on March 23rd is greater than $85,000,000.

According to JewishVirtualLibrary.org:

Purim (Heb. פּוּרִים) is one of the most joyous and fun holidays on the Jewish calendar. It commemorates a time when the Jewish people living in Persia were saved from extermination.

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opened a Ṁ1 YES at 99.0% order

@Ziddletwix resolves yes

bought Ṁ10,000 YES

@traders KFP4 blazed past $100M, and this resolves NO.

How high can it go? Can it reach $200M?