How much will "Kung Fu Panda 4" (2024) gross domestically during its first two months of release?
Mini
9
15k
resolved May 10
Resolved
YES
Over $90 million
Resolved
YES
Over $110 million
Resolved
YES
Over $130 million
Resolved
YES
Over $150 million
Resolved
YES
Over $170 million
Resolved
NO
Over $190 million
Resolved
NO
Over $250 million
Resolved
NO
Over $220 million

"Kung Fu Panda 4" (2024) opens on March 8th. These markets will resolve based on the cumulative domestic (not worldwide) total listed by BoxOfficeMojo up through May 8th: https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt21692408/

  • For comparison, Kung Fu Panda 3 released on January 29th (2016), and BoxOfficeMojo lists $139,634,577 as its cumulative domestic gross through March 29th (two months after release). That is, the "Domestic Daily" tab, the "To Date" column, and the "March 29th" row. This is the comparable number that I will use.

  • These markets are independent—any number can resolve YES—and I may add additional markets (above/below/in between) if that would make it more interesting (this would have no impact on the currently listed markets).

  • Once the listed domestic box office passes a relevant threshold, I can resolve that market early (feel free to tag me).

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bought Ṁ23 Over $250 million NO

@traders final = $188,996,220.

Predict the gross for Inside Out 2:

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