Will "Dune: Part Two" receive >50% as many perfect scores (i.e. 100) from critics on Metacritic as "Oppenheimer"?
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resolved Apr 1
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NO
  • Currently, Metacritic shows 69 (critic) reviews for "Oppenheimer": https://www.metacritic.com/movie/oppenheimer/critic-reviews/.

  • By my count, it received a perfect score of 100 in 27 of these reviews.

  • 50% of 27 is 13.5. This is the threshold "Dune: Part Two" needs to surpass.

  • This question will resolve YES if within one month after release (April 1st), Metacritic has recorded 14 or more reviews for "Dune: Part Two" with the score of 100: https://www.metacritic.com/movie/dune-part-two/ . If there are 13 or fewer reviews with the score of 100, it resolves NO.

Details:

  • For reference, Metacritic shows 68 reviews for "Dune" (2021). By my count, 8 of these reviews have a score of 100.

  • I am not normalizing for the total number of reviews. All that matters is the total number recorded by Metacritic with a score of 100.

  • I am allowing for a full month after release to give plenty of time for reviews to arrive. But occasionally a few reviews will appear on Metacritic more than a month after release. These will not be counted.

  • If any scenarios for resolution are unclear, please ask.

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By my count, I see 6 perfect scores. By any count, thatโ€™s nowhere near half of 27. Resolves NO.

Check out other ongoing Dune markets:

The first reviews are out https://www.metacritic.com/movie/dune-part-two/critic-reviews/

For reference, I currently see 3 reviews with a score of 100, so it needs 11 more to resolve this YES. But there are probably 30-50 more reviews yet to be released/logged, so that could still happen.

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