BoxOfficeMojo is the data source:
Dune: Part Two: https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl68715265/
Kung Fu Panda 4: https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt21692408/
Kung Fu Panda 4 releases on March 8th. I will use the cumulative domestic total for both movies as of May 8th. For an example of the number I will use, Kung Fu Panda 3 released on January 29th (2016), and as of March 29th its cumulative domestic total was $139,634,577.
If Kung Fu Panda has grossed $160M by May 8th, then this question resolves YES if Dune: Part Two has grossed >$240M, and NO if it has grossed <=$240M.
Other details:
If the result looks mathematically certain, I may resolve this market early, rather than waiting the full two months.
Note: For simplicity, I'm checking both cumulative totals for the same date (two months after KFP4 releases), even though Dune releases a week earlier.
If any aspects of resolution are unclear, please ask.
Dune: $281,544,225.
KFP4: $188,996,220.
1.5x KFP4 = $283.5M.
This question resolves NO.
Next, predict how much "Furiosa" will gross at the box office. @traders
/Ziddletwix/how-much-will-furiosa-a-mad-max-sag-c15230455a75
/Ziddletwix/how-much-will-furiosa-a-mad-max-sag-bbd78206bd52
For a direct comparison (no 50% handicap for KFP4), you can check out @mattyb 's closely related markets: