BoxOfficeMojo is the data source:

• Madame Web: https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl1379697409/

• Dune: Part Two: https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl68715265/

Dune: Part Two releases on March 1st. I will use the cumulative domestic total for both movies as of May 1st. For an example of the number I will use, Morbius released on April 1st, and as of June 1st its cumulative domestic total was $73,315,763.

If Madame Web has grossed $50M by May 1st, then this question resolves YES if Dune: Part Two has grossed >$200M, and NO if it has grossed <=$200M.

(If the result looks mathematically certain, I may resolve this market early, rather than waiting the full two months.)

Note: I also made a version of this question using the worldwide gross. It was looking very lopsided towards Dune, so I wanted to add a domestic-only market which could be a touch more balanced (we'll see).