Will "Dune: Part Two" gross >$40 million (domestic) during its 2nd weekend (March 8-10)? (a ~51% drop)
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resolved Mar 11
Resolved
YES

Source: BoxOfficeMojo—specifically the "Domestic" and "Weekend" tabs.

  • For example, "Dune: Part Two" released on March 1st, and grossed $82,505,391 during its first (i.e. opening) weekend (March 1st - 3rd). Source: https://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/2024W09/?ref_=bo_wey_table_8.

  • This is the equivalent number I will use (the "Gross" column), but instead for the weekend of March 8th - 10th (its second at the box office).

  • If the gross listed by BoxOfficeMojo is >$40,000,000, this market resolves YES.

  • I will use the weekend gross posted by BoxOfficeMojo, however it is defined (again note this is domestic).

For context, as "Dune: Part Two" grossed $82.5M on its opening weekend, this would represent an approximately ~48% drop. In their respective second weekend, the original "Dune" (2021) dropped ~61%, while "Oppenheimer" (2023) dropped ~43%.

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DUNE is still in theaters. Can it keep up the momentum? Guess its box office during the third weekend (I made it a multi-market because it's hard to get the estimate right):