A24 has been enormously successful as an indie studio, but they have ambitions to enter the mainstream. "Civil War" (2024) is an early big swing, carrying the largest budget for the studio to date.
Currently, the A24 film with the highest domestic gross is the Oscar-sweeping "Everything Everywhere All At Once", with $77,169,474. This market resolves YES if "Civil War" (2024) grosses more than $77,169,474 at the domestic box office, within three months of release (i.e. July 8th).
I will use the-numbers.com as the source: https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Civil-War-(2024)#tab=box-office.
For example, the "Domestic Box Office" for EEAAO is $77,169,474. This is the equivalent number I will use.
I may end this market early if the result appears certain.
1,000
1.00@traders Civil War is grossing ~5k/day and is still 9+ mil away from the threshold, so this is mathematically certain to be NO (and it won't be at all close). I'll likely resolve this soon to free up mana before EOM (unless there are any objections). the market is about it reaching the threshold and for a month+ it has been long since confirmed to not come close