Context:
Resolves to the name of the person who I believe with >90% confidence Bill Ackman is referring to in these tweets.
If I do not reach sufficiently high confidence for anyone by September 15th (i.e. Ackman doesn't reveal who he meant by this), this market resolves N/A.
This market can only resolve to an individual person. If later tweets imply that this was referring to anything that isn't an individual person (e.g. "creating a new political party" or etc), it will N/A.
Update 2025-11-22 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator does not know who Ackman was referring to and currently cannot resolve the market. Traders have 24 hours to suggest who it might be with convincing evidence. If nothing convincing is provided, the market will resolve N/A.
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@traders I loved this market. Unfortunately, I do not know who Ackman was referring to. I left it open past the election, but currently I still can't resolve it. I'll traders 24h to suggest who it might be, and if there's anything convincing I missed. (If I don't resolve after 24h, feel free to ping me). Otherwise it will N/A
@traders unfortunately, I fear I will need to N/A this beautiful market, unless someone can propose the name that he meant
@Ziddletwix i propose we wait until a week after the race is resolved, maybe he'll get so butthurt about Mamdani that he'll reveal who he was thinking of
@KJW_01294 yeah FWIW atm I like the idea of waiting until a bit after the election in case he clarifies
@i_i hahah, i was actually thinking if there is some validation before answer is posted. Can i delete it ?
TL;DR: IIUC (I ain't reading all 1500 words carefully), Ackman says he'll fund a write-in candidate, and adds:
All of the above is not just theory, as I have a superb candidate who I believe can win who meets all of the criteria, but if I were to say his name or even reach out to him, it would have a negative effect on his candidacy, as I am a supporter of President Trump, and that alone taints anyone I would recommend for many and perhaps most NYC Democratic Party members. So rather than my making suggestions, I welcome yours.
I am guessing this refers to his earlier tweet? So there IS someone he has in mind, but he doesn't want to say the name yet, and is instead crowdsourcing. This means we might never find out the answer, since he claims reaching out to "him" (sorry Hillary!) would hurt his candidacy by association. OTOH, it confirms he's serious about this, and since Ackman talks a lot it does seem quite possible that we'll get an answer.
@Ziddletwix seems that we'd still be able to say with high confidence that any write-in candidate who emerges now and gets a lot of traction is Bill's hero
@nikki oh this one didn't occur to me, could actually be plausible, unless there's a blocker i'm missing