These options resolve YES if Tim Walz says the exact sequence of words during his VP acceptance speech at the 2024 Democratic National Convention.
This will follow the same rules as the Trump-isms Debate Megamarket—see the original market for more detailed resolution examples.
Resolution might take a few days because I'd like to consult the transcript.
You can add your own responses, but note (1) I intend to be strict with resolution (following the rules below), & (2) I reserve the right to edit all entries to better match the spirit of the market.
Resolution examples
Needs to be exact same words (in order): "not going to go back" does not count for "not going back".
Needs to match tense & pluralization: "aborted" or "abortions" do not count for "abortion".
However, any punctuation is fine ("Billions! And billions..." counts for "billions and billions"), and contractions can count as the expanded words ("we're not going back" is equivalent to "we aren't going back").
Different ways of transcribing the same word count: "January 6th" = "January sixth".
To add flexibility to an answer, use parentheses or an "or". So " 'Free lunch(es)' or 'school lunch(es)' " matches "free lunches", "school lunch", & etc.
Context
Here are some relevant transcripts to inform base rates.
1,000
3.00Needs to be exact same words (in order): "not going to go back" does not count for "not going back".
Needs to match tense & pluralization: "aborted" or "abortions" do not count for "abortion".
However, any punctuation is fine ("Billions! And billions..." counts for "billions and billions"), and contractions can count as the expanded words ("we're not going back" is equivalent to "we aren't going back").
Different ways of transcribing the same word count: "January 6th" = "January sixth".
To add flexibility to an answer, use parentheses or an "or". So " 'Free lunch(es)' or 'school lunch(es)' " matches "free lunches", "school lunch", & etc.
"Needs to match tense and pluralization", and "coached" is past tense of verb coach
confirmed that @Panfilo was right and he said "coachin' " and "coached" but not "coach" - so this option has been re-resolved to No
today is my bday so i'll be out celebrating w/ gf tonight which sounds more fun than watching the speech live. in any case, with these mention markets whether or not i watch it live i always wait to resolve options until i can reference the transcript & rewind (to be certain i didn't miss anything)
in the meantime, mods can do whatever they like with this market (including resolving options early if they're certain). but heads up that i won't be resolving anything myself until the transcript is out (i.e. how i always handle these markets). best of luck live trading 🫡