Max (i.e. HBO) & Peacock are neck & neck in the streaming wars. Which will have higher viewership in May?
Basic
13
Ṁ19k
resolved Jun 18
100%100.0%
Max
0.0%
Peacock

Source: Nielsen's monthly report for May, estimating the fraction of TV viewership for each streaming service.

Context: According to the latest report, Max & Peacock are nearly tied in viewership. In March, they were tied (1.3% each), and in April (previous market), Peacock was barely ahead (1.3% vs 1.2%).

Resolution: This market resolves to the streaming service with higher viewership percentage in Nielsen's May 2024 viewership report. I will use the precision reported by Nielsen, and in the case of a tie (i.e. both exactly 1.3%), both options resolve to 50%.

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bought Ṁ15,000 YES

I was wrong—expected Peacock to continue to gain, but it dropped to 1.1%, so this resolves to Max

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