How much will these movies gross (domestic) during the weekend of April 19 - 21? [ADD RESPONSES]
Basic
9
Ṁ2210
resolved Apr 26
Resolved
YES
The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare : >$5 million
Resolved
YES
Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire : >$7.5 million
Resolved
YES
The First Omen : >$1.75 million
Resolved
NO
Monkey Man : >$2.5 million
Resolved
NO
Civil War : >$12 million
Resolved
NO
Abigail : >$11 million

Source: BoxOfficeMojo domestic gross for the weekend of April 19 - 21.

  • Each option resolves YES if the listed movie grosses more than the listed amount during the weekend of April 19 - 21, according to BoxOfficeMojo.

  • You can add your own answers, but (1) please follow my exact formatting, and (2) I may N/A answers for any reason if I think it would clean up the market.

For context, here's the equivalent top 5 grosses for the previous weekend (April 12 - 14).

  • 1. Civil War - $25,712,608

  • 2. Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire - $15,539,152

  • 3. Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire - $5,757,121

  • 4. Kung Fu Panda 4 - $5,532,995

  • 5. Dune: Part Two - $4,333,743

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

@traders market for this weekend:

I like to experiment, so I'm trying something a bit new. Ultimately I think probably having separate markets for each movie will probably be better:

  • (1) I can add relevant details for context (e.g. last weekend's gross, how much the drop would be, etc).

  • (2) It gives more visibility (e.g. I can't actually say the over/unders in the title)

  • (3) the markets start with more liquidity

Still, sometimes I figure it'd be fun to throw out an over/under to track for even tiny movies that I don't think will get much traction, and so this is a cheap/easy way to add a bunch. So I might try this out as a supplement to normal weekend box office markets (although my bet is I'll prefer sticking with what I know). Anyways once the payout structure changes I'll probably need to reconsider all of this anyways.

(And it's a nice bonus that if people are curious they can add their own low-stakes over/under to this list, although usually there isn't enough demand for that to really be warranted tbh)

None of this is material to the actual market, just some context for what I'm trying here. (& LMK if you have any tips for formatting)

Related questions

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules