How much will "Madame Web" (2024) gross domestically during its first month of release?
How much will "Madame Web" (2024) gross domestically during its first month of release?
26
865Ṁ26kresolved Mar 15
Resolved
NOOver $105 million
Resolved
NOOver $90 million
Resolved
NOOver $75 million
Resolved
NOOver $60 million
Resolved
NOOver $45 million
"Madame Web" (2024) opens on February 14th. These markets will resolve based on the domestic total up through (and including) March 14th, as listed on BoxOfficeMojo https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl1379697409/.
For comparison, "Morbius" released on April 1st, and up through May 1st it grossed $71.47M domestically. This is the equivalent number that I will use.
These markets are independent—any number of them can resolve YES.
I may add additional markets—as the questions resolve independently, this would have no impact on the currently listed options.
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This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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