"Fantastic Four: First Steps" opening weekend >$130 million?
19
600Ṁ2098
Aug 12
24%
chance
28

Source: The "Domestic Opening" number listed on BoxOfficeMojo for "Fantastic Four: First Steps" (2025).

  • I will use the "Domestic Opening" listed on BoxOfficeMojo, however it is defined (e.g. typically the 3-day FSS weekend + previews).

  • For example, the "Domestic Opening" for the "Captain America: Winter Solider" was $95,023,721. This is the equivalent number I will use.

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bought Ṁ100 NO

130 feels like a stretch to me. box office theory has it in that range, though, so who knows?

@polymathematic or maybe I just feel the need to hedge my bet in the greater opening than superman market :)

opened a Ṁ250 YES at 35% order

Tracking in the trades:

But the trades routinely lowball these blockbusters, so it doesn't prove much.

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