"Dune: Part Two" versus "Kung Fu Panda 4": Who will gross more during the weekend of March 22-24?
"Dune: Part Two" versus "Kung Fu Panda 4": Who will gross more during the weekend of March 22-24?
26
580Ṁ21k
resolved Mar 26
100%100.0%
Dune: Part Two
0.0%
Kung Fu Panda 4

Context

  • "Dune: Part Two" released on March 1st, and "Kung Fu Panda 4" released a week later.

  • Both have been extremely successful at the box office, with KFP4 narrowly beating Dune in each of the past two weekends (March 8-10 and March 15-17).

  • But many children are returning to school after spring break, and Dune has continued to perform well.

  • Who will gross more at the domestic box office during the weekend of March 22nd - 24th?

    • This is Dune's 4th weekend, and KFP4's 3rd weekend.

Resolution

  • I will use the "weekend" tab in BoxOfficeMojo to resolve this market (this refers to the domestic gross).

  • For example, last weekend, "Dune: Part Two" grossed $28,505,206, and KFP4 grossed $30,149,970.

  • I will use this same source, but for the weekend of March 22-24.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ176
2Ṁ128
3Ṁ95
4Ṁ26
5Ṁ19


Sort by:
bought Ṁ1,750 Dune: Part Two YES11mo
bought Ṁ12,500 Dune: Part Two YES11mo

@howahlah yup actuals are in. resolves to DUNE. Check out the battle for next weekend

Looks like Dune is the favorite to win round #3! (Their third weekend duel, after KFP4 won the first two). I made a market for round #4: which movie will win their fourth battle? (i.e. next weekend)

What is this?

What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
ṀWhy use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.

Related questions

Will Trump golf for at least 25% of his first 100 days?
71% chance
Will Far-UVC Become a Partisan Issue in the US by 2027?
-29% 1d21% chance
White Lotus Season 3 [Mega independent]
🕊️Which person or organization will win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
What will Kanye’s token ticker be?
Will there be a US government shitdown before the end of 2025?
-37% 1d28% chance
Which country will win Eurovision 2025?
Black Mirror Season 7 [Prop bets/Megamarket]
▶️Which Youtube channels will release at least one video in March 2025? [ADD RESPONSES]
In what country will White Lotus Season 4 be based? [official announcement]
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules