How much will GODZILLA X KONG gross during its domestic opening weekend? 🦍 X 🦎
31
263
1.7K
resolved Apr 2
Resolved
NO
Over $100 million
Resolved
YES
Over $34 million
Resolved
YES
Over $40 million
Resolved
YES
Over $46 million
Resolved
YES
Over $52 million
Resolved
YES
Over $58 million
Resolved
YES
Over $64 million
Resolved
YES
Over $70 million
Resolved
YES
Over $76 million
Resolved
YES
Over $78 million
Resolved
YES
Over $80 million
Resolved
NO
Over $82 million

The "Domestic Opening" number listed on BoxOfficeMojo for GODZILLA X KONG: A NEW EMPIRE will be used to resolve this market: https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl3351937793/

Details:

  • I will use the "Domestic Opening" listed on BoxOfficeMojo, however it is defined. For a concrete example, the "Domestic Opening" for GODZILLA VS KONG was $31,625,971.

  • For context, AFAIK, typically that "Domestic Opening" number is the 3-day total (plus Thursday previews) for North America (e.g. it wouldn't include a holiday Monday). But that's just my informal understanding, not a rule for resolution—I will use their "Domestic Opening", however they calculate it.

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bought Ṁ5,000 Over $82 million NO

@traders The actuals are in—$80,006,561. Resolving the remaining options.

How well will GxK hold at the box office? Here are markets for (1) its domestic total, & (2) its gross next weekend (>44M).

The actuals are in: $80,006,561. I won't resolve the super close options until they're actually posted to BoxOfficeMojo (in case there's some tiny adjustment/difference between the sources, although that rarely happens). But to save people some time I'll resolve the ones that are nowhere near the total.

@Ziddletwix KOOOOOOOOOOONG 🙏🙏

@traders I added a market for its cumulative domestic box office—time to see how well it holds up after the weekend. For WW, you can check out @Tripping 's market here.

sold Ṁ0 Over $58 million NO

@Ziddletwix might I suggest making A-Z the default sort?

@howahlah Sure. Tried that, although the 100M Is now out of order

@Ziddletwix Yeah. That's the best way I could think to order the options numerically

Over $80 million

LET’S DO THIS. AMERICA YOUR DUTY IS TO GO TO THE THEATER

@Ziddletwix I WANT TO BELIEVE. LET'S GOOOOOO

Over $100 million

YOU NEVER KNOW

bought Ṁ10 Over $52 million YES

#BeastMode

Over $70 million

MORE

Over $64 million

Heard the first few hours of presales were solid so I'm gonna overreact and add $64 million to prepare for the scenario where GODZILLA X KONG goes wild

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