Will Vladimir Putin and Volodymyr Zelenskyy meet before May 2022?
20
6
แน776แน38
resolved May 2
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
Apr 1, 10:00am: also see https://manifold.markets/ZhaoNan/will-vladimir-putin-and-volodymyr-z-8a28bb2d8f84 and https://manifold.markets/ZhaoNan/will-vladimir-putin-and-volodymyr-z-98bd98d373e6 for markets for "before june" and "before july". Thanks @JonathanMohrbacher for the insightful comments.
Get แน200 play money
๐ Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | แน19 | |
2 | แน9 | |
3 | แน6 | |
4 | แน6 | |
5 | แน4 |
Sort by:
Russian and Ukrainian foreign ministers and their lower-level negotiating teams have been meeting in Istanbul. Medinsky (Russian negotiator) has described these talks as constructive. But he also signaled that Putin and Zelensky won't meet until AFTER an agreement is ready for signing. https://www.business-standard.com/article/international/putin-zelensky-meeting-possible-only-after-agreement-ready-russia-122033000081_1.html.
I suppose that saying this could just be part of the bargaining process. But assuming this actually how things work out, this market is predicting whether the two sides will produce a deal ready for signing before May 1. Even though I'm hopeful that April will be a productive month for diplomacy, I'm doubtful that a deal will be mature enough for SIGNING by the end of it.
Related questions
Will Vladimir Putin and Volodymyr Zelenskyy visit the same country in 2024?
62% chance
Will Xi JingPing and Volodymyr Zelensky meet in person in year 2024?
44% chance
Will Donald Trump and Volodymyr Zelensky meet in person in year 2024?
23% chance
Will Joe Biden and Volodymyr Zelensky meet in person in year 2024?
64% chance
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy visit Crimea before 2025?
17% chance
Will Vladimir Putin and Volodymyr Zelensky meet in person in year 2029?
21% chance
Will Vladimir Putin and Volodymyr Zelensky meet in person in year 2027?
38% chance
Will Vladimir Putin and Volodymyr Zelenskyy meet in person during 2024?
18% chance
Will Xi JingPing and Volodymyr Zelensky meet in person in year 2028?
36% chance
Will Donald Trump and Volodymyr Zelensky meet in person in year 2025?
31% chance