Will the 2026 Kentucky Derby have a close finish?
16
Ṁ1kṀ1.1kresolved May 2
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Market resolves "YES" if the final margin between the horses that finish 1st and 2nd is less than or equal to a 1/2 length.
If it is not abundantly clear at race finish whether the margin is less than or equal to a 1/2 length, I will defer to online sources for the reported margin. If there is still subjectivity (like disagreements between sources on the margin), I will make the final decision. I will not trade on this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ466 | |
| 2 | Ṁ89 | |
| 3 | Ṁ34 | |
| 4 | Ṁ2 | |
| 5 | Ṁ1 |
Sort by:
@Jack1 Yes. Looked like about a head to me. Had to check some pictures to verify but looks clearly less than 1/2 from what I've seen.