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MANIFOLD
Will the 2026 Kentucky Derby have a close finish?
1
Ṁ1kṀ300
May 2
30%
chance

Market resolves "YES" if the final margin between the horses that finish 1st and 2nd is less than or equal to a 1/2 length.

If it is not abundantly clear at race finish whether the margin is less than or equal to a 1/2 length, I will defer to online sources for the reported margin. If there is still subjectivity (like disagreements between sources on the margin), I will make the final decision. I will not trade on this market.

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