The battlefield is an Olympic sized swimming pool that is 6 feet deep. A fully grown polar bear (9 feet tall) faces off against a fully grown female Great White Shark. The fight is to the death and neither animal will attempt to escape the pool. Both animals immediately see each other as a threat and are agressive towards each other but they wont blindly charge at each other unless that is how they would typically fight in the wild. Both animals will fight with the intelligence/strategy that is typical of average members of their species.
This poll will be used to resolve this market: /Zeolite/what-animal-does-manifold-believe-w
The poll will remain up for 1 week.
Making arguments in the comments to sway future voters to your side is encouraged.
I will not be moderating/removing votes obtained from paying for them/alts/other shenanigans as that would be way too much effort and probably couldnt be done reliably. I would appreciate though if those types of things were kept out of it as it makes these types of questions and the site better when shenanigans are kept strictly to markets where they are encouraged.
1,000This comment in particular is what swayed me: https://manifold.markets/Zeolite/what-animal-does-manifold-believe-w#sq4sqgve6k
@MollTheCoder glad to have helped.
Reproducing here:
Pool floor is too slick. Bear can't get traction like it expects.
Blubber and fur make bear rather buoyant, no leverage for striking, striking force already greatly reduced through water as medium and lack of traction.
Bear can't easily pin the shark as it needs to do to bring teeth into play, teeth would have to be under water anyway to be effective. Breathing is a significant demand on the bear's positioning.
Bear standing is easily knocked out of stance, spends significant energy to reposition. Shark has much more efficient movement.
Shark easily.