French government asked the prefects to prepare for this "hypothetical" scenario.
The shutdowns would be planned, during peak hours, with a rotation, in order to protect the grid and essential services. Affected people would be warned the day before. This plan is for metropolitan France except Corsica. It will affect individual consumers.
A warning will be emitted three days in advance on "Ecowatt" : https://www.monecowatt.fr/
This market is about a planned shutdown according to this plan. Unplanned failure, or enterprise only shutdowns, are out of scope.
Date is from now (even if it's still autumn) to March 21th 2023.
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Don't the losses from strikes make this already true?
@MarkIngraham https://www.thelocal.fr/20230315/fact-check-are-french-unions-are-cutting-electricity-to-towns-during-strikes
Is it because they're small cuts and don't count?
@MarkIngraham This market is about planned rolling blackout. A plan for this has been prepared by the government as an energy shortage is possible. A similar plan exists in the UK, there is another market. I've said earlier that cut by striking workers didn't count as they obviously are not part of the government plan.
@Zardoru OK well then I will sell because the government plan is obsoleted by the strike, no reason for them to use ecowatt.
Only 12 nuclear reactors are shut down for maintenance today, from 32 in august.
We can compare with UK situation : https://manifold.markets/JohnRoxton/will-the-uk-have-rolling-blackouts
