![](/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Ffirebasestorage.googleapis.com%2Fv0%2Fb%2Fmantic-markets.appspot.com%2Fo%2Fdream%252FYnyzugWezS.png%3Falt%3Dmedia%26token%3D0217db0b-7e9f-4af6-8f7d-1620a0bfdb2d&w=3840&q=75)
This is a numeric market, how many years starting from now (2023 = 1, 2024=2, and so on), with a log scale.
According to this article, it is expected to be between 10000 and 100000, however the star has been acting strange recently. The fun part is we won't have much warnings.
There is also this market but it is closed. Also I prefer a market not affected by technology expectations.
My other "star market" is affected by technology expectations more than astronomy predictions. I think it won't happen for this one.
Get Ṁ600 play money
Related questions
Related questions
When will Betelgeuse go supernova?
Will Betelgeuse go supernova before 2100?
26% chance
Will I live to see Betelgeuse go supernova?
27% chance
Will Eta Carinae go supernova before Betelgeuse?
42% chance
Will Rigel go supernova before Betelgeuse?
26% chance
Will Deneb go supernova before Betelgeuse?
26% chance
Will Betelgeuse go supernova in the next 12 months?
2% chance
Will Rho Cassiopeia go supernova before Betelgeuse?
29% chance
Will Betelgeuse become a supernova in 2024?
1% chance
Will zeta puppis OR one of Orion's belt stars go supernova before Betelgeuse
50% chance