Will superforecasters aggregated outperform Manifold in 2023 ACX prediction contest?

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ3/Ṁ100 YES at 41% (cancelled)

Michael bought Ṁ50 NO from 51% to 40%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ4/Ṁ100 YES at 51% (cancelled)

Michael bought Ṁ20 NO from 55% to 50%

Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot filled limit order Ṁ14/Ṁ16 NO at 55% (cancelled)

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ6/Ṁ100 NO at 59% (cancelled)

Andrew Hartman bought Ṁ100 YES from 37% to 61%

Timothy sold Ṁ11 NO from 35% to 37%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ8/Ṁ100 NO at 35% (cancelled)

kottsiek sold Ṁ28 NO from 32% to 36%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ3/Ṁ100 YES at 32% (cancelled)

Michael bought Ṁ50 NO from 39% to 31%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ4/Ṁ100 YES at 39% (cancelled)

Michael bought Ṁ50 NO from 49% to 38%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ3/Ṁ100 YES at 49% (cancelled)

JAAM bought Ṁ10 NO from 51% to 48%

JAAM bought Ṁ10 NO from 54% to 51%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ6/Ṁ100 YES at 54% (cancelled)

JAAM bought Ṁ10 NO from 56% to 52%

JAAM bought Ṁ10 NO from 59% to 56%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ2/Ṁ100 NO at 59% (cancelled)

Andrew Hartman bought Ṁ10 YES from 57% to 60%

Andrew Hartman bought Ṁ10 YES from 54% to 57%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ4/Ṁ100 NO at 54% (cancelled)

Andrew Hartman bought Ṁ10 YES from 52% to 56%

Andrew Hartman bought Ṁ10 YES from 49% to 52%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ1/Ṁ100 YES at 49% (cancelled)

kottsiek bought Ṁ20 NO from 58% to 48%

Shaked Koplewitz bought Ṁ10 NO from 66% to 58%

Leo Gao bought Ṁ20 YES from 51% to 66%

Elliot Davies bought Ṁ10 YES from 41% to 51%

Timothy bought Ṁ10 NO from 50% to 41%