Who will be major candidates in the 2028 Republican primaries?
6
1kแน4202028
80%
JD Vance
62%
Marco Rubio
54%
Ron DeSantis
54%
Nikki Haley
54%
Donald Trump Jr.
50%
Glenn Youngkin
42%
Ted Cruz
42%
Vivek Ramaswamy
38%
Tim Scott
For the purposes of this market, a "major candidate" is defined as any candidate who, at any point during the race, had a polling average of at least 10%. In previous years, according to realclearpolling.com, the candidates who would have met this criteria were:
2024: Donald Trump, Ron DeSantis, Nikki Haley
2020: Donald Trump
2016: Donald Trump, Ted Cruz, Ben Carson, John Kasich, Marco Rubio, Jeb Bush, Scott Walker, Carly Fiorina, Rand Paul
2012: Mitt Romney, Newt Gingrich, Rick Santorum, Rick Perry, Herman Cain, Ron Paul, Michele Bachmann
2008: John McCain, Rudy Giuliani, Mike Huckabee, Fred Thompson, Mitt Romney
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57% chance