Will I stay in masters conditional on Starmer not being out before July?

Question

Currently, I have a lot of shares in this market: @/brod/starmer-out-before-july

[image]Market resolves N/A if Starmer is out before July (linked market above resolves YES). Otherwise, resolves the same as @/ZandaZhu/will-i-stay-in-masters-this-season-U8sqIZut02

I might buy or sell more shares later in the Starmer market but I will not bet on this market.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Roughly even odds — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 55% chance (1 traders, as of Jun 19, 2026).

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