Will a tornado outbreak occur on either April 12, 13, 14 or 15 in the USA?

Question

This market will resolves YES if a tornado outbreak occurs on either April 12, 13, 14 or 15 in 2026.

To qualify as a tornado outbreak, there must be 6 or more tornadoes confirmed in any of the given days.

This market will resolve based on SPC Filtered Storm Reports

Other Markets:

[markets]

Manifold Markets · Answer

Probably not — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 40% chance (7 traders, as of Apr 5, 2026).

People are also trading