2025–26 Australian region cyclone season above average
1
200Ṁ10
2026
45%
chance

Resolves yes if there are 11 or more tropical cyclones in the Australian cyclone region before the 30th of June 2026.

To resolve this market I will use the Australian BOM

Background:

Historically there is an average of 10 tropical Cyclones in the Australian Cyclone Region.

Recent History:

2024-25 had 12 tropical cyclones whilst 2023-24 had 8, 2022-23 had 7, 2021-22 had 9, 2020-21 had 8 and 2019-20 had 7.

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@Dulaman cool, you gonna pace a bet or...

@Zacd haha market is too close to this number

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