2025–26 Australian region cyclone season above average
2
Ṁ200Ṁ34Jun 29
51%
chance
5
1H
6H
1D
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1M
ALL
Resolves yes if there are 11 or more tropical cyclones in the Australian cyclone region before the 30th of June 2026.
To resolve this market I will use the Australian BOM
Background:
Historically there is an average of 10 tropical Cyclones in the Australian Cyclone Region.
Recent History:
2024-25 had 12 tropical cyclones whilst 2023-24 had 8, 2022-23 had 7, 2021-22 had 9, 2020-21 had 8 and 2019-20 had 7.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
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