Will Tesla deliver its first Cybertruck in Q4/23?
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resolved Nov 30
Resolved
YES

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predicted YES

predicted YES

@Dave_9000ish handover to actual owner just taken place

predicted NO

@Dave_9000ish Thank you Dave!

predicted YES
predicted YES

In case you needed any more confirmation

https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1729591119699124560

bought Ṁ100 of YES

Delivery event scheduled for 30 November 2023: https://twitter.com/cybertruck/status/1714740805422715301

bought Ṁ30 of NO

Not sure why people are betting on this market, there's not even anything explaining what the conditions for the market closing or not are. Does this mean that they will deliver a cybertruck to a regular, non-Tesla affiliated person who ordered one...and by what date? A regular model, to someone who is not a friend of Elon Musk or a celebrity of some sort?

Why does it close on September 11th, is that when they are supposed to have delivered it by? If that's the case, easiest money ever on a NO bet...there's about a 0.01% chance they manage to deliver one of these to someone in the next 5 days.

predicted YES

@dieselbaby1337 I assume @Yves will update the closing date

predicted YES

@Dave_9000ish I also assume that the delivery event would count since a person will presumably take ownership of a cybertruck on the day

predicted NO

@dieselbaby1337 Closing date updated. Delivery = A preorder is fulfilled or a delivery event takes place or they say they delivered x vehicles on the investors call end of January.

bought Ṁ10 of YES

@Yves Thanks for the clarification. Do you predict NO because you don't think the delivery even takes place in Q4, but Q3 or 2024?

predicted NO

@ZicoVerona Q3, even though it’s getting more unlikely