Will LLMs such as GPT-4 be seen as at most just a part of the solution to AGI? (Gary Marcus GPT-4 prediction #7)

Will there be an LLM (as good as GPT-4) that was trained with 1/100th the energy consumed to train GPT-4, by 2026?

Which next-gen frontier LLMs will be released before GPT-5? (2025)

Will it be possible to run an LLM of GPT-4 (or higher) capability on a portable device by 2027?

Will xAI develop a more capable LLM than GPT-5 by 2026

Will OpenAI's next major LLM (after GPT-4) solve more than 2 of the first 5 new Project Euler problems?

Will mechanistic interpretability be essentially solved for GPT-4 before 2030?

Will the claim that people that grew up with GPT-like systems are smarter be plausible by 2050?

Will Transformer-Based LLMs Make Up ≥75% of Parameters in the Top General AI by 2030?

Will certain contemporary publicly available GPT models be generally accepted as conscious at inference time by 2100?