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MANIFOLD
Option a or b or c or d? which ever gets the most votes wins
6
Ṁ100Ṁ564
Dec 4
24%
Option a
25%
Option b
25%
Option c
27%
Option d

SO whichever option has the highest probability will win. BUUUTT if its a tie then other will win

Resolution criteria

  • This market will resolve to the option (Option a, Option b, Option c, or Option d) with the highest implied probability/share price at the time of market close.

  • If there is an exact tie for the highest probability between two or more options, the market will resolve to Other.

  • The creator should edit this description prior to resolving to clarify the exact closing date and time (including time zone) at which market probabilities will be snapshotted.

Background

This is a meta-prediction market / coordination game where participants trade based on expected final probabilities. Traders determine the outcome through their collective bets, with the winning answer defined purely by whichever option holds the highest trading probability at close, falling back to "Other" in the event of an unbroken tie.

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@creator Title and description differ. Title says most votes, but description says highest probability, these two things are not the same.