Will the current conflict between Israel and Hamas be over **before** November?
628
3.1kṀ160k
resolved Nov 1
Resolved
NO

Hamas launched a surprise attack on Israel this morning (October 7th). The IDF responded. How long will the conflict last until official or defacto cease fire? Resolves YES if the conflict is over before November 1st 00:00, Israel time.

I will resolve to the best of my judgement based on Israeli news publications, or translated Gazan publications.

Will not bet on this market myself.

Clarification: the ceasefire has to be the real end of hostilities for this round. If there's a ceasefire and then some side immediately breaks it, it will not count. I will wait a week to see whether the ceasefire holds. The ceasefire has to happen within the time frame specified above, even if the week extends into November.

PS: one of my first markets here, probably made many mistakes in format/phrasing. Corrections welcome.

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