Did @UniquelyConditional, @MatthewMorgan, and @ChrisDosen log in from the same IP address?
7
100Ṁ1140
resolved Sep 29
Resolved
NO

There was suspicious activity on https://manifold.markets/Yev/conditional-on-this-market-having-a.

After the market's condition was already satisfied and the market was guaranteed to resolve YES, @UniquelyConditional bought M$1000 NO. Then 5 seconds later @MatthewMorgan bought M$200 YES. After 5 more seconds, @ChrisDosen bought M$1000 YES. Finally, 8 seconds after that UC bought $10 more NO (using the daily bonus they earned from their first trade).

As a result of this, MM earned M$492 and CD earned M$93. I'm not entirely sure where the remaining M$415 went.

Both UC and CD created their accounts today, while MM created theirs 5 days ago.


UC's trade could be a violation of community guidelines:

Creating multiple accounts is permitted. However, action could be taken by Manifold if:

  • Abusing referral, signup bonuses, or daily streaks to funnel mana to your main account.


This market resolves YES if a mod says all 3 users had the same IP address.
This market resolves NO if a mod says some of them had different IP addresses.

This market resolves N/A if neither of those happen within a week.

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