If DeSantis does not run in 2024, will he ever be President?
Basic
5
Ṁ115resolved May 25
Resolved
N/A1D
1W
1M
ALL
If he runs in 2024 this resolves N/A.
See also /YaakovSaxon/if-desantis-runs-and-loses-nominati
Otherwise I will leave the market unresolved for as long as it seems to me that he still might run again. If he becomes president during this time I will resolve YES.
At some point (probably not later than 2037) if it seems unlikely that he will run again (for instance he runs a couple of times and then seems to move on from politics) then I will probably resolve early to the best estimate I can find (presumably on Manifold) as to his remaining likelihood of ever becoming President.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
If DeSantis runs and loses nomination to Trump in 2024, will he ever be President?
14% chance
Will Ron DeSantis ever be US President?
13% chance
Will Ron DeSantis run in the 2026 US Senate Race in Florida?
24% chance
Will Ron DeSantis ever be elected President?
9% chance
Will Ron DeSantis run in the 2028 US presidential election?
84% chance
Will Ron DeSantis be the Republican nominee for president in 2028?
10% chance
Will Ron Desantis ever be president of the United States?
8% chance
Will Ron Desantis be the Republican nominee for president in 2028?
9% chance
Will Ron DeSantis be elected President in 2028?
6% chance