By when will Al Qaeda be in control of the capital of Mali?
3
Ṁ155Ṁ1702027
May 20, 2027
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
21%
2026-04-01
27%
2026-07-01
27%
2027-01-01
By when will JNIM, an Al Qaeda affiliate, be in control of Bamako, the capital of Mali, according to major news outlets like the New York Times, BBC, Al Jazeera etc.?
See https://www.wsj.com/world/africa/al-qaeda-is-on-the-brink-of-taking-over-a-country-ffd35ea4
Each option resolves to true if JNIM is in control on or before that date (UTC time).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!