By when will Al Qaeda be in control of the capital of Mali?
2
155Ṁ60
2027
December 25, 2026
19%
2025-12-01
21%
2026-01-01
50%
2026-04-01
50%
2026-07-01
50%
2027-01-01

By when will JNIM, an Al Qaeda affiliate, be in control of Bamako, the capital of Mali, according to major news outlets like the New York Times, BBC, Al Jazeera etc.?

See https://www.wsj.com/world/africa/al-qaeda-is-on-the-brink-of-taking-over-a-country-ffd35ea4

Each option resolves to true if JNIM is in control on or before that date (UTC time).

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