Will I be the last user to bet on this market?
22
174
430
resolved Nov 25
Resolved
NO

The resolution is NO as of the specified closing time of 11/23 20:00 ET. The market is now open for another day for you to recover losses if you made an incorrect bet.

The market will not close any earlier than, but exactly at, and remain closed after the time specified.

I shall start by bidding 10 mana on it. Every time at least TWO unique (but not necessarily new) users bet on this market, I shall also bet 10 mana. I will not bet again until two users bet on it. If more than two users bet before I am able to get a bet in, I shall bet only once when I do.

If I am the last trader to bet on this market under these rules, it shall resolve YES. Otherwise, it shall resolve NO.

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predicted YES

I pressed the button. Why did it go through ΩДΩ

Anyway, congrats team no.

sold Ṁ2 of YES

The resolution is NO at the specified closing time of 11/23 20:00 ET. The market is now open for another day for you to recover losses if you made an incorrect bet.

* I pressed the Wager button. Why didn't it go through

bought Ṁ255 of NO

@XComhghall Trading automatically closes so if you press the Wager button after the close time, it won't go through.

@a I swear I pressed it at 19:59:59. O well.

predicted NO

Should selling be considered a bet? I am thinking yes, to impose more restrictions on my bets.

predicted NO

@XComhghall Probably yes. At least, Manifold counts sales towards a user's streak.

The real question is whether limit orders and bots count. They were my main reasons for betting NO on this market.

@Sjlver Bots did count in this experiment. If I am the last user on the Trades list / tab, subject to the rules specified in the description, the market resolves yes, otherwise it resolves no.

Will I be the last user to bet on this market?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition