Will Jimmy Carter turn 101?
Basic
82
Ṁ56k
2025
8%
chance

Resolves YES if former US president Jimmy Carter is alive on his 101st birthday (October 1st, 2025)

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

The odds of a 100 year old living to 101 are roughly 40%

Does he need to be alive while turning 101 for this to resolve to YES ?

@jothan Sorry, I can't read sometimes, it is in the description.

Why 8%? Doesn’t a 99 year old have a more than 8% chance of making it to 101?

99 year olds that have been in hospice care for a year and a half?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules