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[Gamble] What number will be rolled from a d100? (Jan 19th)
9
Ṁ190Ṁ181
resolved Jan 19
Resolved as
15%

At market close fairly random will roll a d100 (kinda) and resolve to the number rolled as a percent.

Explaination of decision process after market close:

1) I will

@FairlyRandom

and ask it to choose 1 or 2, if it chooses 1 the range is 1-40, if it chooses 2 the range is 60-99

2) I will

@FairlyRandom

and ask it to choose a number in the range chosen by the original question

Any questions are welcome, helpful

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predictedYES

What does the number between 1 and 80 have to do with this market?

predictedNO

@JimHays if its between 41 and 80 he will resolve between 61 and 100

and if its between 1 and 40 well it stays the same

predictedYES

@JimHays JIM I WAS TOO LAZY TO CHANGE THE DISCRIPTIONS OF THE MARKETS, BUT IT DIDNT CHANGE THE ODDS OF ANY NUMBER BEING CHOSEN. I apologize for cpas but yes

predictedYES

@DesTiny For clarity and transparency, that should really be stated before the roll, because there’s lots of other possible mappings.

predictedNO

@JimHays What do you mean?

predictedYES

@JimHays yes I agree and have updated the future market, but I can assure you the odds were identical to the description. For the hassle

predictedYES

@DesTiny Like the roll from 1-80 could have mapped to roll 1 from the description, followed by a second roll to determine the exact value. Or you could have said, oops, I input the wrong number this doesn’t count, then rerolled with something actually matching the description if you didn’t like the outcome. I get that the odds are the same, but if you’d stated your method before the roll, that would’ve been clearer, and less open to possible abuse

predictedYES

@JimHays Yes I understand but please take the money before I cry https://manifold.markets/link/883h9smZ

predictedNO

@JimHays It's just that we discussed this in previous markets I personally didn't even noticed that the description was different here

predictedYES

I didn’t bet in any of the other markets, but that does provide some context. I don’t need compensation

predictedYES

@JimHays Take the money NOW

predictedNO

@DesTiny o7 :kek:

@DesTiny your random number is: 15

Salt: HT32QfZC95xCzTBbH7ZI, round: 2624624 (signature 821cea5122288f17a4b9a5ff4d49146e1419d8d6c9380d3fee4880457ec096a2f653f8fffdc6e9452a28b0c0f8396b3313399befac165fee13d7b0cf85eaed4ee350bb82d4f822f05a09f0722f04eee0beff197b587c7f1e5bb781397195c0b8)

predictedYES
predictedNO

@DesTiny rigged for sure

predictedYES

@RogerYang I've lost every time @A explain

predictedNO

@DesTiny Try taking the opposite of its roll next time lol

predictedNO

@DesTiny Okay I admit it, I was manipulating the outcome with my psychic skills

predictedYES
predictedYES

@Simon1551 There's no such thing as Psychics (read in Patrick Jane's voice) (any other mentalist fans here?)

predictedNO

@firstuserhere Lmao I did rewatch the whole show during the pandemic it's a classic

predictedNO

L

predictedYES
predictedNO

@DesTiny I thought I lost lmfao 6 in a row????

@DesTiny you asked for a random integer between 1 and 80, inclusive. Coming up shortly!

Source: GitHub, previous round: 2624622 (latest), offset: 2, selected round: 2624624, salt: HT32QfZC95xCzTBbH7ZI.