Will it come to light that Joe Biden used a body double while in presidential office or on the campaign trail?

Question

This will resolve yes if substantial evidence or an admission by a White House/campaign insider that Joe Biden used a body double at least once during his presidency or while campaigning (e.g. before he was elected on the 2020 campaign). Resolution date will be set to the end of the next presidential term.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Almost certainly not — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 1% chance (63 traders, as of Jan 29, 2026).

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