Will resolve YES if I test positive on any high-specificity COVID test (most likely to be a rapid antigen or PCR test) before the end of 2024. Otherwise, NO.

Ask forecast-relevant questions in the comments, and I will make a good faith effort to answer them.

Info I think will be helpful:

• As of Feb 4, 2024, I have had COVID once (in August 2022).

• My current strategy for COVID is "vaccinate and bug-chase". I'll probably get any future updated vaccines, but besides that I will take no precautions. My theory is that I'll keep my immunity current by getting exposed to each new strain as it arrives and that this is (a) likely to result in no infection severe enough to notice/test positive and (b) almost certain to result in no severe consequences of infection.

• I live in Seattle, WA, USA

Relevant previous market: https://manifold.markets/WilliamEhlhardt/will-i-get-covid-in-2023