Will resolve YES if I test positive on any high-specificity COVID test (most likely to be a rapid antigen or PCR test) before market close. Otherwise, NO.

Ask forecast-relevant questions in the comments, and I will make a good faith effort to answer them.

If you email your question privately to williamehlhardt@gmail.com, I will answer your question privately, giving you a chance to trade on your inside scoop. However, I will also publish the question and answer as a comment a few days later.

Previously: https://manifold.markets/WilliamEhlhardt/will-i-get-covid-in-2022-67b0e9b79c1d

Oct 10, 5:12am: Note that I currently take zero COVID precautions day-to-day. Among other things, I go out dancing indoors with strangers about once a week. I do intend to get the bivalent booster at most 2 months from now.

Close date updated to 2022-12-29 1:59 am