How much will further COVID boosters affect my chance of infection through 2024?
Plus
8
Ṁ444Dec 16
1D
1W
1M
ALL
33%
Given NO further boosters, do I get infected by the end of 2024?
26%
Given ANY further boosters, do I get infected by the end of 2024?
I've gotten every COVID booster as it's come out (including the fall 2023 one). Since I've had an annoyingly large reaction for ~half of them, I want to know how big a difference this is really making.
This is a pair of conditional markets. One of the multiple choice options here will resolve YES/NO, and the other will N/A.
"An infection" means a case that I notice and, ideally, test positive for. If I don't notice having COVID at all, the relevant arm resolves NO.
Background on my overall COVID stance can be found here:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@RobertCousineau I test every time I feel noticeably sick, with the following exception: I seem to have a lot of allergies, so mild sore throat and runny nose on their own only prompt me to test when they're unusually severe.
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