How much will further COVID boosters affect my chance of infection through 2024?
Basic
8
į¹€444
Dec 16
33%
Given NO further boosters, do I get infected by the end of 2024?
26%
Given ANY further boosters, do I get infected by the end of 2024?

I've gotten every COVID booster as it's come out (including the fall 2023 one). Since I've had an annoyingly large reaction for ~half of them, I want to know how big a difference this is really making.

This is a pair of conditional markets. One of the multiple choice options here will resolve YES/NO, and the other will N/A.

"An infection" means a case that I notice and, ideally, test positive for. If I don't notice having COVID at all, the relevant arm resolves NO.

Background on my overall COVID stance can be found here:

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How often do you get tested? Do you get tested each time you feel sick?

@RobertCousineau I test every time I feel noticeably sick, with the following exception: I seem to have a lot of allergies, so mild sore throat and runny nose on their own only prompt me to test when they're unusually severe.