At the California Michelin Guide ceremony on July 18, Michelin will announce this year's batch of culinary distinctions for restaurants in the state. Which of the 27 current star-holding restaurants in San Francisco will lose at least one star? (I'm only counting normal stars, not Green Stars or Bib Gourmands.)

As per the Michelin website, the current star-holders are:

• Birdsong (**)

• Kin Khao (*)

• Californios (**)

• The Progress (*)

• State Bird Provisions (*)

• Avery (*)

• Acquerello (**)

• O' by Claude Le Tohic (*)

• Sons & Daughters (*)

• Omakase (*)

• Niku Steakhouse (*)

• Saison (**)

• Ssal (*)

• Mister Jiu's (*)

• Benu (***)

• Nisei (*)

• The Shota (*)

• Lazy Bear (**)

• Osito (*)

• San Ho Won (*)

• Quince (***)

• Atelier Crenn (***)

• Sorrel (*)

• Le Comptoir (*)

• Angler SF (*)

• Gary Danko (*)

• Spruce (*)