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Will SCOTUS strike down Alaska’s “$95,000 plane for 6 beers” forfeiture?
5
Ṁ1kṀ181
2027
48%
chance

Everyone's favorite law to hate

In Jouppi v. Alaska, the Supreme Court will decide whether transporting a six-pack of beer can constitutionally cost you an airplane. Alaska seized pilot Douglas Jouppi’s roughly $95,000 plane after he flew a passenger carrying beer into a dry village, and the state courts upheld the forfeiture. The case now asks SCOTUS where the Eighth Amendment draws the line between “reasonable punishment” and “congratulations, that Bud Light just became the most expensive beer in America.”

This market resolves YES if the U.S. Supreme Court reverses or vacates the Alaska Supreme Court’s judgment in Jouppi v. Alaska in a way that favors Jouppi’s Excessive Fines Clause challenge. It resolves NO if the Supreme Court affirms the Alaska Supreme Court, dismisses the case without disturbing the judgment, or otherwise leaves the forfeiture ruling intact. A remand following a reversal or vacatur counts as YES, even if Jouppi does not immediately recover the airplane.

More Context:

Supreme Court agrees to hear case of Alaska pilot whose $95,000 plane was seized over a 6-pack of beer

Billy Binion (@billybinion) on X

Market context
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