Resolution Criteria

This market resolves to the candidate who receives the highest percentage of votes in the first round of the 2025 Polish presidential election among the five listed candidates: Magdalena Biejat, Adrian Zandberg, Grzegorz Braun, Krzysztof Stanowski, and Szymon Hołownia. If any of these candidates do not run in the election, they will be considered to have received 0% of the vote. If the election is canceled or postponed beyond 2025, the market resolves N/A. The market will resolve based on official election results from Poland's National Electoral Commission (Państwowa Komisja Wyborcza, https://wybory.gov.pl/prezydent2025/).

Background

The 2025 Polish presidential election will determine who succeeds Andrzej Duda, who cannot run for a third term due to constitutional term limits. The election is scheduled for 18 May 2025 and the results should be announced within 2-3 days.

• Magdalena Biejat: Deputy Speaker of the Senate and a leading figure in the New Left party.

• Adrian Zandberg: Leader of the left-wing Razem (Together) party.

• Grzegorz Braun: Far-right politician from the Confederation of the Polish Crown, member of the European Parliament.

• Krzysztof Stanowski: Sports journalist and YouTube personality who has positioned himself as an "anti-candidate."

• Szymon Hołownia: Leader of the Poland 2050 party and current Marshal of the Sejm.