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MANIFOLD
Will there be evidence of ASML selling 1 or more EUV machines to China or a Chinese company in 2023?
9
Ṁ210Ṁ596
resolved Jan 3
Resolved
NO

This article frames the tension as very high between the US and the Netherlands/ASML. Seems like a good example of a case where we can use prediction markets to test punditry! This market will resolve positively if by the end of 2023, there's public evidence that ASML sold (or gave) at least one or more EUV machines in 2023.

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My sense is the answer is no. Anyone have any good links though?

Will there be evidence of ASML selling 1 or more EUV machines to China or a Chinese company in 2023?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition