Will Tim Walz have positive favorability on the election night?
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Ṁ34kresolved Nov 6
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It will resolve according to 538: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/favorability/tim-walz/
If the graph shows his favorability to be 0.0 or higher for November 5th 2024, it will resolve YES. Otherwise NO.
Currently he is +4.7 and there is ~30% undecided.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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opened a Ṁ1,000 NO at 75% order
Lots of time to go until the election, and most other politicians have net negative favorability