Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to YES if the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) trades below 51,500.00 (either intraday or at market close) at any point during regular U.S. stock market trading hours (9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) on any trading day from the market's creation through the close of trading on August 18, 2026.

If the index does not drop below 51,500.00 during this period, the market will resolve to NO.

The primary source for verification will be the historical daily low and close data for the index ticker ^DJI on Yahoo Finance. If Yahoo Finance is unavailable or contains an obvious error, Google Finance or Bloomberg will be used as alternative sources.

Background

As of July 10, 2026, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) is trading at approximately 52,500 to 52,600, coming off an all-time high of 53,289.30 reached earlier in the month. A drop below 51,500.00 would represent a decline of roughly 2% from current levels. Market participants are monitoring corporate earnings, inflation metrics, and Federal Reserve policy to gauge direction through late summer.

This description was generated by AI. Review and verify everything here yourself. You can edit, replace, or delete any part of this description, including the resolution criteria. You do not need to trust the AI output.