Resolution criteria
This market resolves to YES if the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) trades below 51,000.00 at any point (including intraday or at daily close) during regular trading hours on or before August 13, 2026.
The market resolves to NO if the DJIA remains at or above 51,000.00 during all regular trading sessions throughout this period.
Regular trading hours are defined as 9:30 AM to 4:00 PM Eastern Time on days when the US stock market is open. Extended-hours or pre-market trading is excluded.
Resolution will be verified using historical daily and intraday price data from Yahoo Finance (^DJI) or Google Finance.
Background
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) is a price-weighted index tracking 30 major publicly traded U.S. companies.
In early July 2026, the index traded between approximately 52,000 and 53,000. A drop below 51,000 would represent roughly a 2.5% to 4% decline from early July levels.
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1,000