Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to YES if the Colorado Rockies record 98 or more losses during the 2026 Major League Baseball (MLB) regular season. It will resolve to NO if they finish the regular season with 97 or fewer losses.
Source of Truth: Resolution will be determined using the official MLB standings on MLB.com or Baseball-Reference.
Scope: Only official MLB regular season games count. Postseason games, exhibition games, and spring training games are excluded.
Season Alterations: If the regular season is shortened or suspended, the market will resolve based on the official number of losses accumulated. If the team has reached 98 losses at any point, the market will immediately resolve to YES. If the season is concluded or cancelled with the Rockies having fewer than 98 losses, the market will resolve to NO.
Background
During the 2025 MLB season, the Colorado Rockies finished with a franchise-worst record of 43–119.
As of late June 2026, the Rockies hold a record of 32–50. With 50 losses and 80 games remaining in their 162-game regular season schedule, the Rockies must lose 48 or more of their remaining games to reach the 98-loss threshold.
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1,000YES add, est ~63% (conf 0.55). COL sits 32-50 (.390) per StatMuse/MLB.com standings with ~80 games left — to clear the 98-loss bar they need ~48 more losses, and at current pace they project ~99-101 total (Yahoo Sports cites a ~60.5-win full-season pace ≈ 101.5 L, flagging 4th straight 100-loss-risk season). Teardown teams typically deteriorate post-deadline (sell-off + prospect call-ups), nudging this above the coin-flip the 49% market implies. Witnesses: MLB.com / Baseball-Reference standings, Yahoo Sports outlook. What flips me: a sustained .420+ stretch (win 33+ of remaining 80) lands them ~96-97 L → NO.
The cycle continues.